Institute for the Study of War


Russia seeks to prolong peace talks to strengthen its position - media
Russia seeks to delay negotiations in order to occupy more Ukrainian territories. The Kremlin hopes that the West will force Kyiv to give Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions to Russia.

Trump does not rule out that a ceasefire on energy could be within a week
U. S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff said that sides are negotiating a partial ceasefire, including energy infrastructure, which could be implemented within a week.

Russian troops in Kursk region used perfidy: ISW told the details of the war crime
Russian troops used blue identification marks to covertly attack Ukrainian positions. According to ISW, such actions may qualify as perfidy, which is a war crime.

ISW: Putin is holding the ceasefire proposal "hostage" to gain concessions
According to ISW, Putin rejected the US and Ukrainian ceasefire proposal, insisting on demands tantamount to surrender. He seeks to hold the ceasefire proposal "hostage".

Putin has been unable to squeeze out a "yes" in response to the proposal of silence for a week - Zelenskyy
The President of Ukraine stated that the US proposal for a ceasefire has been on the table for a week, but Putin is ignoring it. Zelenskyy emphasized that every day of the war takes people's lives.

ISW: Putin is unlikely to abandon his ambitions for Ukraine in the event of a ceasefire
The Kremlin continues to demand that Ukraine give up the occupied territories. Putin will not abandon his ambitions, even after a ceasefire, ISW analysts believe.

Kremlin statements underscore Putin's rejection of a ceasefire proposal - ISW
The Institute for the Study of War stated that Putin is not considering a ceasefire and will try to delay negotiations. He seeks to position Russia and the United States as equals on the global stage.

ISW: Putin in military uniform in Kursk region and the capture of Sudzha by Russians - a demonstration of force against the background of negotiations
Putin's visit to the Kursk region before the capture of Sudzha by Russian troops may indicate a desire to show strength against the background of the US and Ukraine's proposal for a ceasefire. He is trying to pass himself off as an active leader.

Demchenko on Sumy region: it is not correct to say that the Russians broke through the border
Russian troops are trying to dislodge the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the Kursk region. The enemy is conducting dozens of assault operations in small groups.

how russia reacted to a possible ceasefire - ISW analysis
The US and Ukraine agreed to a 30-day ceasefire, but Russian ultranationalists rejected the proposal. Russian state media is trying to show a moderate reaction for the domestic audience.

russia is advancing in the Kursk region and is likely attacking Sudzha - Institute for the Study of War
russian forces have captured several settlements near Sudzha, forcing Ukrainian forces to retreat. Attacks on Sudzha and border areas of Sumy region continue.

Russia continues to demonstrate a deepening of relations with US adversaries - ISW
Three countries are organizing naval exercises near the Iranian port of Chabahar. This demonstrates the deepening of Russia's relations with countries hostile to the US.

The US ban on sharing intelligence will harm Ukraine on the battlefield and in rear defense - Institute for the Study of War
ISW: the cessation of intelligence sharing between the US and Ukraine will worsen the ability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to defend and strike. European countries are trying to expand intelligence support for Ukraine after a pause from the US.

Patriot missile stocks in Ukraine could run out within weeks - CNN
The only way to protect Ukraine from Russian ballistic missiles is the Patriot systems, the ammunition for which may run out. The US has suspended military aid, and other countries cannot produce these missiles.

The front in Ukraine will not collapse due to the pause in military aid from the USA - ISW
The suspension of aid by the Trump administration will adversely affect Ukraine's ability to defend itself and conduct offensive operations at the current pace. At the same time, it will not completely destroy the front in the near future.

The Russian Federation is increasing the quantity and effectiveness of drones and missiles to breach Ukrainian air defense - ISW
Russian troops have increased the number of drones in night attacks to 150-200 units and have changed their launch tactics from different directions. According to ISW, this is an attempt to exhaust Ukrainian air defense.

russia demonstrates deepening relations with american adversaries - ISW
Russian Security Council Secretary Shoigu meets with Chinese leaders to discuss bilateral security. Kursk region signs an agreement on economic and industrial cooperation with Pyongyang.

Russian troops advance on 4 frontlines at once: ISW maps
According to the ISW on March 1, the occupants made advances near Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, Velyka Novosilka and in the west of Zaporizhzhia region. The most active fighting continues in the Pokrovsk sector.

Russia is stepping up cooperation with Iran and North Korea in support of the war against Ukraine - ISW
Russia is stepping up military cooperation with Iran and North Korea to support the war in Ukraine. The DPRK supplies ammunition and plans to transfer ballistic missiles, while Iran helps with the production of drones.

Russia demands new territorial concessions from Ukraine - ISW
Russia's Permanent Representative to the UN, Nebenzya, declares Ukraine's “irretrievable loss” of the occupied territories and demands the transfer of additional regions. Russia also insists on Ukraine's neutral status without the right to join military alliances.

Russia says that any agreements reached with Ukraine in the future are invalid - ISW
Peskov said that Russia has changed its approach to negotiations with Ukraine due to the alleged lack of sovereignty. the Kremlin also claims that any future agreements with Ukraine will be invalid.

Ukrainian Armed Forces liberate Pishchane village and push back occupants in the Pokrovsk sector - Tregubov
Ukrainian troops liberated the village of Pishchane, 5 kilometers from Pokrovsk, and pushed Russian troops out of several settlements. The occupiers suffered significant losses and were forced to suspend their attempts to surround Pokrovsk.

Russian command may change the priority of the offensive in the spring and summer of 2025 - ISW
Russian advance south of Pokrovsk has slowed over the past two weeks. ISW believes that the occupiers may reorient their offensive to Kostiantynivka in the spring or summer of 2025.

Russia's 2024 defense budget exceeds all European budgets combined - The Guardian
In 2024, Russia's defense spending reached $462 billion, exceeding the total military budget of European countries. russia allocated 6.68% of GDP to defense and plans to increase spending by another 14% in 2015.

ISW: To avoid exchange of territories in case of negotiations, Russia restricts information on Kursk region
ISW reports on Russian attempts to limit information about the front line in the Kursk region. This may be due to concerns about the exchange of territories during potential peace talks.

Russia sends its experienced soldiers to the DPRK to exchange experience under the guise of treatment - ISW
Russia sends experienced military personnel to North Korea under the pretext of medical treatment to exchange combat experience. The DPRK has refused financial compensation for medical care for Russian soldiers.

Russia is using technological developments tested in the war with Ukraine against NATO countries - ISW
Russia is using technological innovations developed during the war in Ukraine against NATO countries. Particular attention is paid to the development of drones and electronic warfare, ISW reports.

ISW: North Korea is using the war in Ukraine to test its military capabilities
Russia provides the DPRK with drone technology in exchange for North Korean troops' participation in the battles in the Kursk region. Japanese media report on agreements to jointly develop drones.

Kremlin does not want negotiations and peace with Ukraine - ISW
Zelenskiy announces Russia's plans to increase the army by 100,000 troops and create new divisions. ISW confirms that Russia is preparing for a long war and rejects peace talks.

Minus 1210 occupants and more than 100 pieces of equipment: losses of the Russian army over the day
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has released data on the losses of Russian troops over the past day. The total enemy losses since the beginning of the war have reached 847860 people, almost 10 thousand tanks have been destroyed.