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Institute for the Study of War

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ISW: Russia refuses to support Iran after Khamenei's death, despite accusations against the West

Russia refuses to support Iran after the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Putin expressed condolences but did not mention the US or Israel.

Politics • March 2, 03:04 AM • 22862 views
Ukraine considers joint consortia for anti-ballistic missile defense and overcoming the shortage of Patriot missiles - media

Ukraine is considering the possibility of creating consortia with allies to develop air defense systems capable of shooting down ballistic missiles. This will also help overcome the shortage of ammunition for Patriot systems.

War in Ukraine • February 27, 04:32 PM • 4121 views
Ukraine exposed Russia's attempt to "rewrite" the Budapest Memorandum

The Kremlin manipulates international law to create a false legal justification for aggression and to absolve itself of responsibility for violating Ukraine's borders in 2014 and 2022.

War in Ukraine • February 24, 10:17 AM • 8260 views
Russia uses Belarus to attack Ukraine and threatens NATO countries - ISW

Russia has de facto annexed Belarus and uses its infrastructure to attack Ukraine and destabilize NATO. Belarus has lost its sovereignty and is an accomplice in the aggression.

War in Ukraine • February 22, 11:11 AM • 5613 views
Trump's friend strikes deal with Russia's Novatek on Alaska gas extraction - NYT

American financier Gentry Beach, linked to the Trump family, has struck a deal with Russia's Novatek to develop a gas project in Alaska. This cooperation comes amid Russia's war against Ukraine and Western sanctions.

News of the World • February 20, 12:21 PM • 4028 views
Russians in the occupied territories have deployed "temporary accommodation centers" for the forced deportation of Ukrainians to Russia - ISW

Russia is likely using "temporary accommodation centers" to forcibly displace Ukrainians in the occupied territories or deport them to Russia. This is being done under the guise of "humanitarian evacuation."

Society • February 20, 05:15 AM • 6701 views
AFU liberated 201 km² of territory after Russians lost Starlink - ISW

Last week, the Armed Forces of Ukraine liberated 201 square kilometers of territory, taking advantage of the Russians' loss of Starlink. This is the largest recaptured territory since June 2023.

War in Ukraine • February 17, 08:48 AM • 4308 views
Russia will continue strikes on Ukraine's infrastructure in February 2026 - CPD

Andriy Kovalenko, head of the Center for Countering Disinformation of the National Security and Defense Council, stated that Russia will continue strikes on Ukraine's infrastructure in February 2026. The aggressor country does not intend to stop the war.

Society • February 14, 02:24 PM • 36868 views
2025 became the deadliest year for Ukrainians since the start of the full-scale invasion - ISW

In 2025, Russians killed at least 2,919 civilians and wounded 17,775, an increase of 12% and 25% respectively compared to 2024. Drone strikes caused the majority of civilian casualties.

Society • February 13, 05:44 AM • 5551 views
Russia blocked WhatsApp and other Western platforms to control the information space - ISW

Russia is blocking WhatsApp and other Western platforms to regain control over the information space. The Kremlin aims to transfer Russians to the state messenger Max.

Politics • February 13, 03:43 AM • 6413 views
Russians are preparing for the continuation of the war against Ukraine until at least autumn - CPD

Andriy Kovalenko, head of the Center for Countering Disinformation of the National Security and Defense Council, stated that the actions of the Russians at the front indicate their readiness to fight until autumn. President Zelenskyy noted that the end of the war by summer depends on the United States.

War in Ukraine • February 12, 07:19 AM • 2808 views
Putin subordinates Rosgvardia and EMERCOM to Chief of General Staff Gerasimov - ISW

Vladimir Putin signed a decree subordinating Rosgvardia to the General Staff of the Russian Federation, headed by Valery Gerasimov. This will strengthen Gerasimov's control over security forces, rewarding his loyalty.

Politics • February 12, 04:02 AM • 44316 views
Ukraine's Defense Forces are doing everything to thwart it: the Center for Countering Disinformation reacted to reports of a possible large-scale Russian offensive in the near future

Andriy Kovalenko, head of the Center for Countering Disinformation at the National Security and Defense Council, commented on Die Welt's publication about a possible large-scale Russian offensive in the spring-summer of 2026. Kovalenko noted that the enemy's plans are known, and Ukraine's Defense Forces are doing everything to thwart them.

War in Ukraine • February 10, 10:07 AM • 3959 views
ISW: Russia used moratorium on strikes on energy infrastructure to accumulate weapons and launch new attacks on Ukraine

According to analysts, Russia used a temporary "moratorium" on strikes against energy targets to accumulate drones and missiles. After that, it launched devastating attacks on Ukraine.

War in Ukraine • February 8, 05:15 AM • 8606 views
ISW: Kremlin insists on Ukraine's full diplomatic and military capitulation

The Kremlin continues to reject security guarantees for Ukraine, citing the 2022 "Istanbul Protocol. " This document would leave Ukraine defenseless against aggression.

War in Ukraine • February 7, 04:30 AM • 32107 views
Verifying Starlink for the military has become easier: data can be entered independently - Ministry of Defense

The Ministry of Defense of Ukraine has simplified the procedure for verifying Starlink terminals in the DELTA system for military personnel. Now, every DELTA user can independently enter information about the terminal, which will speed up equipment confirmation.

War in Ukraine • February 6, 12:53 PM • 3159 views
Starlink failure paralyzed Russian troop command, causing "friendly fire" - "ATESH"

A massive Starlink failure in the occupied territories of Ukraine caused panic among Russian units. Troop command was paralyzed, leading to a "friendly fire" incident in the Zaporizhzhia direction, where a 12-person assault group was killed.

War in Ukraine • February 6, 12:01 PM • 4464 views
Starlink blockade for Russians will slow down strikes on Ukraine's logistics - ISW

The Institute for the Study of War reports that blocking Starlink terminals for Russians will affect their attempts to strike Ukrainian logistics. SpaceX blocked the terminals at the request of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine after they were found on Russian drones.

War in Ukraine • February 6, 09:36 AM • 21522 views
Peace talks on Ukraine could create risks of a new war - assessment of Trump's approach

Donald Trump's approach to peace talks between Ukraine and Russia could lead to an agreement that will not stop the war. This would create conditions for a new Russian invasion, The Telegraph notes.

Society • February 4, 11:17 AM • 5836 views
Abu Dhabi Talks: Russians Make No Concessions on Ukraine - ISW

According to the Institute for the Study of War, the Russian side is not making concessions and is not changing its demands for an end to the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin demands the withdrawal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from all Russian-occupied territories and also wants Ukraine to remain under Russian influence.

War in Ukraine • February 4, 07:33 AM • 54851 views
ISW: Kremlin tries to manipulate Trump ahead of new round of "peace" talks

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov is trying to convince the US to negotiate only with Russia, and not with Ukraine and Europe. The Kremlin seeks to use economic agreements and arms talks to extract concessions from Trump on Ukraine.

Politics • February 2, 04:01 AM • 24446 views
ISW: Russia de facto annexed Belarus and uses it to prepare for war with NATO

ISW analysts claim that Russia has de facto annexed Belarus. Russia is using Belarus to invade Polish and Lithuanian airspace as part of its "zero-phase" efforts to create informational and psychological conditions for preparing for a potential war with NATO.

Politics • February 1, 07:01 AM • 7722 views
ISW: cascading power outages in Ukraine during the "truce" are not a significant concession from Russia

Russian strikes have significantly damaged Ukraine's energy grid, leading to its degradation and significant disruptions. Even during a moratorium on strikes, the grid faces problems.

Economy • February 1, 02:39 AM • 14217 views
ISW: The Kremlin disagrees with the US on the only issue of Donbas in peace talks

The Kremlin disagrees with the US position that territorial control over the Donetsk region is the only unresolved issue in the negotiations. Russian presidential aide Yuri Ushakov stated that territorial issues are important, but many others remain on the agenda.

War in Ukraine • January 31, 06:46 AM • 5363 views
Kremlin resumes nuclear rhetoric to extract concessions from US on Ukraine

According to ISW analysts, the Kremlin is resuming rhetoric on nuclear arms control. This is being done to pressure the US into pushing Ukraine for concessions in exchange for normalizing relations.

War in Ukraine • January 27, 05:44 AM • 4801 views
ISW: Kremlin manipulates results of Trump-Putin summit in Alaska to misinform the world

ISW analysts believe that the Kremlin is using the lack of clarity regarding the Alaska summit in August 2025 to create the illusion of "joint American-Russian understanding" on ending the war in Ukraine. Russia is trying to avoid US pressure by balancing between demonstrating strength and engagement.

War in Ukraine • January 26, 05:15 AM • 5191 views
ISW: Russia is trying to split Ukraine's energy grid in half and create "energy islands"

According to the Institute for the Study of War, Russia's intensified campaign of long-range strikes on Ukraine's energy infrastructure aims to split Ukraine's energy grid in half. Russia wants to create "energy islands" cut off from power generation, supply, and transmission systems.

War in Ukraine • January 25, 06:02 AM • 5117 views
Davos Forum: Russia, through Lavrov, rejected any prospects for a peace agreement - ISW

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, during the World Economic Forum in Davos, rejected conditions for peace in Ukraine. The diplomat confirmed Russia's commitment to addressing the "root causes" of the war.

Politics • January 21, 05:15 AM • 11051 views
Cyborgs stood their ground, but the concrete didn't: Ukraine honors the defenders of Donetsk AirportPhotoVideo

Today, January 20, marks the Day of Honoring the Defenders of Donetsk Airport.

War in Ukraine • January 20, 07:20 AM • 74120 views
Medvedev is number one: Putin has identified the top five leaders of "United Russia" for the State Duma elections - media

Putin's administration and "United Russia" have identified five leaders for the State Duma elections in September 2026. The list includes Medvedev, Lavrov, Golovin, Lysenko, and Poddubny.

Politics • January 20, 03:02 AM • 6317 views