Analysts interpret Moscow's rhetoric as an attempt to conceal panic over Orban's election loss. Russia is losing the ability to block aid to Ukraine through Hungary.
Ukrainian military forces are making progress near Kupyansk, Yampil, Pokrovsk, and Huliaipole. Russian occupiers have not been able to advance on any of the offensive sectors.
Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service groundlessly accused EU leaders of developing nuclear weapons. ISW considers this an attempt by Moscow to spoil US-EU relations.
The dictator's approval rating fell to 71% amid restrictions on the messenger's operation. Discontent is growing among military bloggers and small businesses in Russia.
The occupiers began combining night and day shelling for constant pressure. ISW reports an increased threat to civilians due to the duration of the attacks.
Russians increased the number of patrols and blocked the bus station to check men. Residents of Luhansk region also massively complain about blocked bank cards.
ISW exposed Russia's information campaign regarding the alleged collapse of Ukrainian defense. Analysts call statements about the rapid capture of Donetsk region absurd.
Ukrainian forces have achieved their greatest successes since 2024 and liberated 480 sq. km. Russia's advance has slowed due to losses and underequipped infantry.
The occupiers are accumulating missiles for massive attacks along with UAVs to increase casualties. ISW predicts the launch of series of over 1000 drones by autumn 2025.
Russian forces have launched large-scale mechanized attacks in the Lyman direction. The goal of the operation is to break through the main defensive line of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and capture cities.
The Kremlin tried to exchange intelligence on Iran for an end to US support for Ukraine. The Trump administration rejected the Russian proposals.
The occupiers have activated armored vehicles in three directions in preparation for the summer campaign. ISW predicts attacks on the "fortress belt" and an increase in enemy losses.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine are successfully attacking enemy artillery and radars to disrupt the spring offensive. Dozens of Russian air defense systems were hit during the winter and early spring of 2026.
ISW analysts believe that the temporary US permission to buy Russian oil will strengthen Russia's war economy. Rising oil prices and the US decision will provide Russia with greater flexibility, support the Russian domestic economy, and finance the Russian armed forces.
Russian propaganda created a fake video about weapons from Ukraine allegedly ending up in the Middle East. ISW and partners do not confirm any facts of theft.
Ukrainian experts will teach Persian Gulf countries how to shoot down Iranian drones and missiles. Three states plan to purchase Ukrainian UAV interception systems.
The General Staff updated data on enemy losses: 930 occupiers and 2558 UAVs were eliminated in a day. The total number of destroyed tanks reached 11,742 units.
The occupiers increased the share of ballistic missiles in their salvos to 50 percent. ISW attributes this to the depletion of interceptor stockpiles in Ukraine due to the conflict in the Middle East.
The Russian command has redeployed elite units from the Pokrovsk direction due to the successes of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Russia has previously used the redeployment of elements of the 76th Airborne Division to respond to critical situations on the front.
Russian forces have intensified strikes on Ukraine's railway infrastructure since July 2025, and are also increasing their use of Shahed drones both on the front lines and for attacks on critical infrastructure. This is leading to civilian deaths and injuries.
The US and Israel are striking Iranian drone and missile production facilities. At the same time, the US is limiting Ukraine's capabilities by refusing to provide Tomahawk cruise missiles.
Kent Smetters, director of the Penn Wharton Budget Model, stated that US strikes on Iran could cost the American economy up to $210 billion. The lowest damage figure is $40 billion.
Russian dictator Vladimir Putin is trying to position himself as a mediator between Iran and the Persian Gulf states. This is happening against the backdrop of a US-Israeli operation against Iran.
Russia refuses to support Iran after the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Putin expressed condolences but did not mention the US or Israel.
Ukraine is considering the possibility of creating consortia with allies to develop air defense systems capable of shooting down ballistic missiles. This will also help overcome the shortage of ammunition for Patriot systems.
The Kremlin manipulates international law to create a false legal justification for aggression and to absolve itself of responsibility for violating Ukraine's borders in 2014 and 2022.
Russia has de facto annexed Belarus and uses its infrastructure to attack Ukraine and destabilize NATO. Belarus has lost its sovereignty and is an accomplice in the aggression.
American financier Gentry Beach, linked to the Trump family, has struck a deal with Russia's Novatek to develop a gas project in Alaska. This cooperation comes amid Russia's war against Ukraine and Western sanctions.
Russia is likely using "temporary accommodation centers" to forcibly displace Ukrainians in the occupied territories or deport them to Russia. This is being done under the guise of "humanitarian evacuation."
Last week, the Armed Forces of Ukraine liberated 201 square kilometers of territory, taking advantage of the Russians' loss of Starlink. This is the largest recaptured territory since June 2023.
