ISW: the cessation of intelligence sharing between the US and Ukraine will worsen the ability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to defend and strike. European countries are trying to expand intelligence support for Ukraine after a pause from the US.
The only way to protect Ukraine from Russian ballistic missiles is the Patriot systems, the ammunition for which may run out. The US has suspended military aid, and other countries cannot produce these missiles.
The suspension of aid by the Trump administration will adversely affect Ukraine's ability to defend itself and conduct offensive operations at the current pace. At the same time, it will not completely destroy the front in the near future.
Russian troops have increased the number of drones in night attacks to 150-200 units and have changed their launch tactics from different directions. According to ISW, this is an attempt to exhaust Ukrainian air defense.
Russian Security Council Secretary Shoigu meets with Chinese leaders to discuss bilateral security. Kursk region signs an agreement on economic and industrial cooperation with Pyongyang.
According to the ISW on March 1, the occupants made advances near Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, Velyka Novosilka and in the west of Zaporizhzhia region. The most active fighting continues in the Pokrovsk sector.
Russia is stepping up military cooperation with Iran and North Korea to support the war in Ukraine. The DPRK supplies ammunition and plans to transfer ballistic missiles, while Iran helps with the production of drones.
Russia's Permanent Representative to the UN, Nebenzya, declares Ukraine's “irretrievable loss” of the occupied territories and demands the transfer of additional regions. Russia also insists on Ukraine's neutral status without the right to join military alliances.
Peskov said that Russia has changed its approach to negotiations with Ukraine due to the alleged lack of sovereignty. the Kremlin also claims that any future agreements with Ukraine will be invalid.
Ukrainian troops liberated the village of Pishchane, 5 kilometers from Pokrovsk, and pushed Russian troops out of several settlements. The occupiers suffered significant losses and were forced to suspend their attempts to surround Pokrovsk.
Russian advance south of Pokrovsk has slowed over the past two weeks. ISW believes that the occupiers may reorient their offensive to Kostiantynivka in the spring or summer of 2025.
In 2024, Russia's defense spending reached $462 billion, exceeding the total military budget of European countries. russia allocated 6.68% of GDP to defense and plans to increase spending by another 14% in 2015.
ISW reports on Russian attempts to limit information about the front line in the Kursk region. This may be due to concerns about the exchange of territories during potential peace talks.
Russia sends experienced military personnel to North Korea under the pretext of medical treatment to exchange combat experience. The DPRK has refused financial compensation for medical care for Russian soldiers.
Russia is using technological innovations developed during the war in Ukraine against NATO countries. Particular attention is paid to the development of drones and electronic warfare, ISW reports.
Russia provides the DPRK with drone technology in exchange for North Korean troops' participation in the battles in the Kursk region. Japanese media report on agreements to jointly develop drones.
Zelenskiy announces Russia's plans to increase the army by 100,000 troops and create new divisions. ISW confirms that Russia is preparing for a long war and rejects peace talks.
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has released data on the losses of Russian troops over the past day. The total enemy losses since the beginning of the war have reached 847860 people, almost 10 thousand tanks have been destroyed.
Mishustin and Putin are trying to convince that the Russian economy is stable despite the sanctions. The ISW points to the concealment of the real impact of the war and much higher inflation than the official 9.9%.
Russia is forming a new kind of troops - unmanned systems troops, which by 2030 should number 210,000 soldiers in 277 units.
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has released data on the losses of the Russian army over the past day. The enemy lost 1,240 soldiers, 46 artillery systems and 16 armored combat vehicles.
Putin's godfather Medvedchuk has released a map showing most of Ukraine's territory as “historical Russia. ” ISW believes this reflects the Kremlin's strategy of denying Ukraine's sovereignty.
Ukrainian defense forces advanced east of Nadiivka near Pokrovsk. At the same time, Russian troops made progress near Kupyansk, Toretsk and Kurakhove, capturing several settlements.
A fire broke out at the Albashneft oil depot in the Krasnodar Territory of Russia after a drone attack. 55 people and 19 pieces of equipment were involved in the firefighting.
Monthly conscription to the Russian army does not cover the losses of the military at the front. Members of the State Duma justify the refusal to mobilize again, despite staffing problems.
The media revealed internal disagreements within the Biden administration over the supply of weapons to Ukraine. By November, only half of the promised US military aid for 2024 had been delivered.
The UN Monitoring Mission reported 79 executions of Ukrainian prisoners of war by Russian forces in 24 separate incidents since the end of August 2024. Most of the executions took place in the areas of Russian offensive operations.
The Russian Black Sea Fleet has used an Orion drone for the first time to destroy a Ukrainian maritime drone. ISW reports that this could change the balance of power in the Black Sea.
Over the past day, Russian occupants lost 1430 troops. Also, 9 tanks, 22 armored combat vehicles and 121 enemy UAVs were destroyed.
Russian troops are expanding their positions north of Kupyansk to force the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the eastern bank of the Oskol. The occupiers are planning a 6-9 month operation to surround the city and cross the river.