Moscow is trying to destabilize Moldovan democracy and society by using pro-Russian figures, such as Gagauzia's governor, Evgenia Gutsul, to create conditions for potential Russian aggression against Moldova.
Russia accelerates offensive operations along the entire front in Ukraine despite mounting casualties, forcing Ukraine to cede the initiative on the battlefield due to delays in military aid.
Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian airfields may have destroyed about 5% of Russia's Tu-95 strategic bombers, dealing a significant blow to Russia's long-range strike capabilities.
Russia claims to have found pro-Ukrainian materials on the phone of one of the suspects in the Crocus shooting, allegedly linking the attack to the war in Ukraine, despite the fact that ISIS has claimed responsibility for it.
Russian authorities are stepping up information operations to push Ukraine to negotiate and make the West fear an escalation in Russia's war against Ukraine.
Over the past two weeks, Russian troops have increased the number and scale of mechanized ground attacks in certain areas of the frontline, likely to intensify their offensive and take advantage of Ukraine's lack of supplies before Western aid arrives.
Reducing the mobilization age from 27 to 25 will support Ukraine's ability to rebuild existing military units, but Western military assistance remains crucial to improving the combat capability of the Ukrainian army, according to a new report by the US Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
The Russian military command may focus its projected offensive in late spring/summer 2024 in western Donetsk region due to limited resources, with priority given to the Avdiivka area.
The Russian Orthodox Church of the Moscow Patriarchate, a Kremlin-controlled organization, held a council and adopted an ideological document that ties together Kremlin narratives to form a broader nationalist ideology around the war in Ukraine.
Russian authorities will increase the rhetoric of alleged Western and Ukrainian "terrorist threats" to gain more domestic support for the war in Ukraine after the attack on Crocus City Hall.
Ukrainian strikes on ships and infrastructure of the russian Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol are likely to continue to deter russian forces from redeploying to the western part of the Black Sea and limit the fleet's combat capability.
Russia launched massive attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure on March 22, likely with the aim of undermining Ukraine's defense industry and crippling its industrial potential.
russia fears new incursions of volunteer formations into its territory ahead of the March 17 presidential election.
Zelenskyy believes that Russia could launch a military offensive against Moldova, the Baltic states, and Kazakhstan.
Russia is trying to use the unrecognized regions of Transnistria and Gagauzia to conduct hybrid operations and destabilize Moldova on the eve of EU accession talks and presidential elections.
Russia is using the peace talks proposed by China and Turkey to undermine international support for Ukraine and shift the blame for the lack of negotiations to Kyiv.
British intelligence predicts that in the coming weeks Russia will try to gradually extend its control beyond Avdiivka, but it lacks combat capabilities.
According to experts from the Institute of War Studies, Russian troops around Avdiivka may have to take an operational pause or send reinforcements to prevent the offensive from stopping.
Delays in the provision of Western security assistance to Ukraine allow Russia to launch offensive operations on several fronts at once to put pressure on Ukrainian forces.
For the first time, Russian troops were able to establish a temporary local air superiority and were able to provide direct air support to ground troops during the offensive on Avdiivka, Donetsk region.
russian troops are slowly advancing in Avdiivka, which could create conditions that would force Ukrainian forces to retreat from their positions in the city.
Ukraine's electronic warfare system is effectively intercepting and disabling some russian attack drones and missiles without using firepower, reports a spokesman for the Ukrainian Air Force.
If Western countries continue to delay defense aid, Ukraine could face a shortage of ammunition for its air defense systems as early as March, giving russian aviation more opportunities to attack.
Relatives of russian soldiers mobilized for the war in Ukraine continue to protest in several russian cities, calling for their demobilization, despite the kremlin's attempts to suppress the movement.
The Russian Ministry of Defense proposes to raise the age limit for military mobilization to 65 due to the absence of a legally defined age limit for wartime service.
Russia tried to distract Ukrainian air defenses with a combination of missile strikes to help other weapons achieve their objectives.
According to a new report, the Russian defense industry is likely to be unable to fully supply Russia's reserve forces.
Russia plans to capture the city of Kupyansk in Kharkiv region by March 2024 as a gift to Putin before the presidential elections in Russia, deploying 500 tanks and more than 40,000 troops.
Defense forces maximize the use of all available ammunition to defeat the enemy, while there are more targets than ammunition.
Putin announces plans to fully integrate the occupied Ukrainian territories into Russia over the next six years.
