Institute for the Study of War
The Russian command is redeploying experienced units to the Kursk region, considering its defense a higher priority than the offensive in the Kharkiv region. This may indicate a serious assessment of the situation in the region.
the Kremlin is trying to find a balance between presenting the attack in Kursk region as a Ukrainian escalation and avoiding panic inside the country. ISW notes the risk of discrediting the authorities due to contradictory statements.
Russia was preparing to transfer missiles and military equipment to the Houthis in Yemen, but refused due to diplomatic pressure. ISW believes that Russia is seeking to use Iran to indirectly confront the West.
Street fighting continues in Vovchansk, Kharkiv region. Russian troops are trying to advance in some locations, but without success. Information about the seizure of the aggregate plant has no news value.
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban's visit to moscow and calls for peace talks are intended to distract the West and undermine support for Ukraine, the Institute for War Studies believes.
Over the past day, Ukrainian intelligence recorded isolated movements of Russian troops in Vovchansk, Kharkiv region, where they are trying to restore combat readiness of their units.
Putin demanded the "irreversible" "demilitarization" of Ukraine as a precondition for any ceasefire agreement.
Russia has once again started transporting fuel across the Kerch Bridge, easing some logistical restrictions but making the bridge increasingly vulnerable to strikes from Ukraine.
The ISW report says that a change in US policy that allowed Ukraine to strike some Russian military targets in a small part of Russian territory reduced Russia's "inviolable territory" by a maximum of 16%, while Russia provides at least 84% of ground protection.
Fighting continues near the village of Glubokoe, Kharkiv region. The Russian occupiers have increased the number of attacks in the Kharkiv direction to four.
Two military clashes continue near Volchansk. Over the past day, 10 clashes occurred in the Kharkiv region.
The replenishment of the Russian army with new recruits does not allow it to conduct large-scale offensive operations in several directions simultaneously during the expected summer offensive.
According to an analysis by the Institute for the Study of War, Vladimir Putin's statement on June 5 may indicate that Russian troops suffer about 20,000 casualties in battles on the territory of Ukraine every month, including about 5,000 killed and 15,000 wounded.
Ukraine has used American weapons to strike Russian air defense batteries on Russian territory. It is noted that Biden's permission allows the use of weapons provided by the United States to strike at Russian troops.
Russian troops seized about 752 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in 2024, despite Russia's Defense Minister Andrey Belousov's inflated estimate of 880 square kilometers.
Currently, among the 129 thousand war crimes registered by the Office of the prosecutor general, more than 3,800 crimes against Ukrainian children. Today, Ukraine has more than 30 court sentences in cases related to war crimes against children.
The Russian authorities are preparing to intensify the deportation of tens of thousands of Ukrainian children to Russia in the summer of 2024 under the guise of summer camps and vacations, which is an act of genocide against the Ukrainian people.
Russia may sign an agreement with Sudan to exchange weapons for the Russian logistics center in Port Sudan on the Red Sea.
Russia is concentrating forces on the Sumy direction to distract Ukrainian troops from other areas and consolidate near the border, according to a report by the Institute for War Studies.
Russia's offensive in Ukraine could consist of several waves, the first of which would be directed at the Kharkiv region, where Russian troops advanced but were eventually stopped by Ukrainian forces.
Russian troops can conduct reconnaissance with the help of drones in the rear areas of Ukraine due to the lack of air defense in Ukraine.
Ukraine's defense forces managed to stabilize the situation in the Kharkiv sector, particularly on the northwestern outskirts of Vovchansk, despite intense fighting along the entire front line, which resulted in significant losses in manpower and equipment.
Ukraine asks the White House for permission to use U. S.-supplied weapons to strike Russian military targets in Russia to counter the Russian offensive in the Kharkiv region.
Russian troops have slowed their offensive operations in the Kharkiv region, using a new tactic of using small assault groups to infiltrate Ukrainian positions and create a "buffer zone" near the border instead of advancing deeper.
Over the past month, Russian troops have significantly increased the pace of ground attacks in eastern Ukraine, likely to consolidate their positions before Western military aid arrives to help Ukrainian forces.
Over the last day, Donetsk region suffered 1870 hostile attacks, hits were registered in 9 localities, as a result 3 civilians were wounded.
russia's main military goal for 2024 remains the complete capture of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine, with plans to launch an offensive in the summer of 2024 and potential attempts to seize Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, and Sumy regions.
Russian Defense Minister Shoigu called for an increase in the volume and quality of arms supplies to Russian troops to maintain the pace of their offensive in Ukraine.
Russian forces made no rapid tactical gains west of Ocheretyne, Solovyovo, Berdychiv, and Semenivka after Ukrainian forces withdrew from tactical positions in the area, indicating that Ukrainian forces retain the ability to slow further Russian advances.
The situation on the contact line escalated after the US decision to provide military assistance to Ukraine: the enemy army significantly intensified its activities in the Kupyansk sector and launched numerous attacks that were repelled by Ukrainian forces.