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"Zero Phase": Russia conducts campaign to prepare provocations against NATO - ISW

Kyiv • UNN

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Russia is conducting a "Zero Phase" campaign to create conditions for provocations against NATO countries. ISW analysts point to the possible use of captured Ukrainian drones for false flag operations.

"Zero Phase": Russia conducts campaign to prepare provocations against NATO - ISW

Russia is conducting a "Phase Zero" campaign aimed at creating informational and psychological conditions for potential future provocations against NATO countries. This is reported in a material by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), according to UNN.

Details

Analysts point to a statement by Polish Defense Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz, who said that the Russian Federation could use captured Ukrainian drones to conduct a false flag operation against Poland, the Baltic states, Finland, or Romania.

Kosiniak-Kamysz's remarks came after recent warnings that Russia is considering provocations and sabotage attempts by Western officials, including Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda, and Latvian President Edgars Rinkēvičs

- ISW notes.

They summarize that Russian false flag provocations, along with drone incursions, sabotage, electronic warfare interference, and overflights, are part of this campaign.

Recall

Russia is intensifying military provocations and hybrid activity near the borders of NATO countries, testing the Alliance's readiness to respond. In particular, last week, the activity of Russian military aviation over the Baltic Sea significantly increased.

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