Occupants are able to focus on one direction of possible offensive in 2024 - ISW

Russian military commanders will favor one operational direction, possibly in the western part of Donetsk region, according to analysts at the Institute for the Study of War. A new ISW analysis also mentions the Russian army's attention to the Kharkiv-Luhansk axis and areas near Bakhmut and Avdiivka. In these areas, the Russian army is amassing personnel and equipment, but Russian forces are limited in their planning, the report says, UNN reports .

The Russian command may consider the Avdiivka area in the Donetsk region to be its priority. The willingness of the Russian military command to deploy a tank battalion to the Avdiivka offensive indicates that this offensive is a priority. The Russian command may focus its projected offensive in late spring/summer 2024 in western Donetsk region, hoping to capitalize on the steady but small advance of Russian troops in that sector 

The Institute for War Studies noted, citing Ukrainian officials, that Russian troops are amassing personnel along the Kharkiv-Luhansk axis, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, and in the western part of Zaporizhzhia region.

According to the ISW, "Russian forces are likely to be able to launch a coordinated large-scale offensive in only one operational area at a time due to limited human resources and planning.

Recall

Earlier, UNN reported that according to experts of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the Kremlin leader will try to use the declared "record" results in the presidential elections in Russiato create information conditions to justify the ongoing conflict and the prolonged occupation of part of Ukraine

UNN also reported that the Russian authorities will increase the rhetoric about alleged Western and Ukrainian "terrorist threats"to gain more domestic support for the war in Ukraine after the attack on Crocus City Hall.