The end of the war in Ukraine may become a new stage of threats from russia. About 800,000 russian soldiers, in the event of a truce, may be redeployed to belarus and the borders of finland, norway and the baltic states. This was reported by UNN referring to BILD.
Details
In the event of the end of hostilities in Ukraine, the threat to us will increase - said the minister of defense of estonia, hanno pevkur, in a comment to the publication.
According to him, about 800,000 russian soldiers in the event of a truce will not return home, but will receive new orders.
As BILD learned, western intelligence agencies assume that in this case, russia may quickly transfer troops to the borders of finland, norway, the baltic states and belarus, in fact - to the borders of poland. According to intelligence services, the infrastructure for this has already been prepared, and only the war in ukraine is currently preventing the implementation of such plans.
The publication's source notes that moscow may use the "west-2025" exercises to move forces to belarus.
If a truce takes place in the near future and russia is confident in its reliability, it may transfer troops to belarus during the "west-2025" exercises.
A similar scenario was implemented in 2021, when, under the guise of maneuvers, russia deployed an army near the ukrainian borders. This time, the source warns, potential targets could be lithuania or poland.
Of course, we all want peace to come to ukraine. But we must honestly say: if the war continues, "west-2025" will remain just maneuvers, since key forces will be busy elsewhere. If it ends on russia's terms, the "west" may be the beginning of a new war against us
Another western official warns: "russia sees weakness as an opportunity for new conquests. After georgia, there was crimea, then donbas, then ukraine. If we make it clear to putin that he can keep the annexed territories, he will choose his next, bigger goal."
For reference
russia and belarus are going to hold joint military exercises "west-2025" on the territory of belarus in september 2025. According to nato intelligence, about 100,000 soldiers will take part in the exercises.