The Estonian army believes that rf could take advantage of the stagnation in arms deliveries and launch a new offensive
Kyiv • UNN
The Estonian army believes that russia could take advantage of the stagnation in arms deliveries and launch a new offensive because of its advantage in manpower, although it is extremely difficult to assess the likelihood of this.
The presence of manpower gives the russian army the ability to maintain the current pace of the offensive and try to launch an offensive in a new direction, but it is extremely difficult to assess this probability. This was said by the deputy chief of staff of the Estonian division for operational work, Colonel Janno Märk in the program "Ukrainian Studio", reports UNN with reference to ERR.
Details
According to him, russian troops hold the initiative and the pace of the offensive in different directions of the front, while Ukraine is forced to be in strategic defense.
Ukraine's president said in an interview with CBS that Ukraine has managed to stabilize the front, but going forward it will be harder to contain the russian offensive if allies don't rush arms deliveries. russia is certainly trying to take advantage of some of the stagnation or uncertainty about Western military aid
He recalled that Russia has been mobilizing an average of 30 thousand people a month for a year and a half.
These forces are certainly not at the same level of training and equipment as they were at the beginning of the war. If you look at the manpower, it appears that russian forces are capable of maintaining the current pace of the offensive, and could possibly launch an offensive in a new direction. But it is difficult to assess the likelihood of this
He also noted the lack of air defense systems to protect Ukraine, which russia is now taking advantage of by attacking Ukraine's energy and civilian infrastructure.
Speaking about the difficult situation with Ukrainian air defense systems, Myark noted that these systems cannot be used at the front now, as they are used to protect populated areas as well as critical infrastructure.
Recall
Analysts at the Institute for the Study of War believethat the russian military command will prioritize one operational area, possibly in western Donetsk Oblast. A new ISW analysis also mentions russian attention to the Kharkiv-Lugansk axis and areas near Bakhmut and Avdeevka, where the russian army is amassing personnel and equipment, but russian forces are limited in their planning.
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