Cuba is on the verge of a complete energy collapse: according to the analytical company Kpler, current oil reserves on the island will last only 15-20 days. The situation critically worsened after the US blocked supplies from Venezuela, and the last major partner – Mexico – under pressure from Washington began to cancel planned fuel shipments. This is reported by UNN.
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According to monitoring data, in 2026, Cuba received only one shipment of Mexican oil, amounting to 84,900 barrels, which arrived on January 9. This is slightly more than 3,000 barrels per day, while the average import last year reached 37,000 barrels.
After the US military captured Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro on January 3, the traditional "oil bridge" with Caracas was completely destroyed. US President Donald Trump confirmed the uncompromising nature of his position, stating that the regime in Havana would no longer receive "neither oil nor money."
The Cuban regime is very close to collapse
Experts from the University of Texas warn: if new shipments do not arrive in the coming weeks, the country faces severe energy rationing, which will stop transport and life support systems. Currently, raw material reserves in storage are estimated at about 460,000 barrels, which, at the current level of consumption, will only last until mid-February.
Mexico may stop oil supplies to Cuba due to Trump's threats24.01.26, 03:47 • [views_8895]
Diplomatic pressure on Mexico and Havana's resilience
The Mexican state company Pemex was forced to cancel the January voyage of the Swift Galaxy tanker due to fears of American sanctions and a possible review of the free trade agreement (USMCA).
Although Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum publicly stated that "humanitarian aid" to Cuba would continue, Bloomberg analysts note that actual shipments have been suspended. At the same time, Russia and Algeria, which previously helped Havana, are making only episodic deliveries, which are insufficient to stabilize the energy system.