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Russia may have to declare mobilization due to Ukraine's offensive - Bloomberg

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The Kremlin may announce a general mobilization due to a lack of troops to cover losses at the front. Russia needs about 500,000 new soldiers over the next 12 months to compensate for the depletion of troops in Ukraine.

After Ukraine's offensive in the Kursk region of Russia, it became obvious that in the third year of the full-scale war, Russia lacks military personnel. Therefore, the Kremlin, which is trying hard to avoid this, may announce a general mobilization This was stated in Bloomberg, reports UNN.

Details

The publication points out that the Russian Armed Forces lack recruits to cover the losses on the front line, which are the highest since the beginning of the invasion in February 2022. This was told to journalists by anonymous sources close to the Kremlin and the Russian Defense Ministry. 

За словами путіна, на "сво" перебуває майже 700 тисяч росіян14.06.24, 23:17

Sources admit that the mobilization will be officially presented as a  rotation measure to rest troops on the front line. The sources add that an order for conscription may be issued as early as the end of this year.

Bloomberg emphasizes that Russia keeps has hundreds of thousands of troops on the front lines in eastern and southern Ukraine, where it faces mounting casualties. However, the situation in the Kursk region of Russia demonstrates the lack of defense resources. 

It is noted that in 2022 , Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the mobilization of 300,000 reservists, which caused a surge in Russians' concerns about the war and the flight of a million people from the country.

So now, the Kremlin is focusing on appeals to patriotism and payments to the mobilized to try to secure the 30,000 new soldiers it needs every month just to replenish the ranks.

The military's demand for labor has already triggered an accelerated wage race in business, as labor shortages are increasing in the Russian economy.

On top of that, the situation is getting worse, as bonus payments are rapidly increasing to try to attract more and more men to join the army. Even now, some regions are seeking subsidies from the government to help them fulfill Putin's order to pay the mobilized. 

У росії вдвічі збільшили виплату контрактникам за відправку на війну в Україну 31.07.24, 15:42

Putin needs "about 500,000 people over the next 12 months to compensate for the attrition and rotation of his troops deployed in Ukraine. The current recruitment strategy, which relies on paying volunteers above market wages, will not be enough. The government is likely to turn its attention to conscripts

- said Alex Isakov, Russian economist at Bloomberg Economics

Recall

Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrsky spoke about the progress of the offensive in the Kursk region of Russia. According to him, Ukrainian forces control about 1000 square kilometers of territory, the situation is under control.

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