During a massive attack on the night of May 24, Russian troops may have used not one, but two "Oreshnik" intermediate-range ballistic missiles, with one of them likely malfunctioning and falling in the occupied territory of the Donetsk region. This is stated in a report by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), UNN reports.
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The second missile could have fallen near Avdiivka or Yasynuvata.
ISW analysts cite data from Ukrainian OSINT researchers who analyzed videos from May 24.
According to their information, the Russians may have launched a second "Oreshnik" missile, which fell in the occupied territory of the Donetsk region due to a malfunction.
The video likely shows the fall of six submunitions, and one of the Ukrainian OSINT communities suggested that the "Oreshnik" could have hit Russian military positions near occupied Avdiivka or Yasynuvata,
The ISW noted that if this information is confirmed, it would mean that every fourth "Oreshnik" used by Russia in the war against Ukraine has suffered a malfunction.
The cost of the attack could have exceeded $400 million.
According to estimates by the Ukrainian agency ArmyInform, cited by ISW, Russia's massive strike on the night of May 24 cost Russia approximately $361 million.
This amount included the cost of one "Oreshnik" missile, which was estimated at approximately $50 million.
If Russia did indeed use two such missiles, the total cost of the attack could have risen to $411 million.
ISW: The Kremlin is trying to hide weakness after May 9.
ISW also believes that the intensification of Russian strikes on Kyiv is linked to the Kremlin's attempt to demonstrate strength after the "humiliation" surrounding the May 9 parade.
Analysts emphasize that Moscow is trying to deflect attention from the problems of the Russian army, economic difficulties, and the inability to effectively protect its own territory from Ukrainian drone strikes.