Oil market experts have warned OPEC+ countries that the consequences of blocking the Strait of Hormuz will be felt at least until the end of 2026, even if the key maritime route is quickly reopened. This was reported by Bloomberg, according to UNN.
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Analysts and consultants voiced this assessment during a technical meeting at OPEC headquarters in Vienna. According to the participants of the event, restoring logistics and returning to pre-war supply levels will require many months.
The Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of global oil and gas supplies passed before the conflict, was effectively blocked after the start of the war between the US-Israeli alliance and Iran. This caused a sharp increase in prices for gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel.
Market prepares for prolonged disruptions
Expert assessments align with the forecast of Adnoc energy company head Sultan Al Jaber, who previously stated that the full restoration of oil flows from the Middle East could drag on until 2027, even in the event of a swift end to the conflict.
On Tuesday, a meeting of the Economic Commission Board will take place at OPEC, and on June 7, the ministers of the alliance countries will hold an online meeting to assess the situation in the global oil market.