Occupied Crimea is being left by Russian tourists and residents of the occupied peninsula, Russian military personnel and security service employees associated with the Russian Black Sea Fleet, as well as representatives of the occupation authorities. This is stated in a report by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), reports UNN.
Details
It is noted that the outflow of this population from occupied Crimea could lead to short-term demographic consequences that may intensify in the long term if the Ukrainian "strike" campaign continues.
Analysts also point out that on June 26, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin signed a decree extending the current ban on the export of oil and petroleum products by Russian oil companies at prices corresponding to the G7 and EU price caps until December 31, 2027.
Putin imposed this ban in December 2022, and his decision to extend the ban amid ongoing fuel shortages and price spikes in Russia is likely intended to signal a belief that Russia does not need to comply with Western sanctions, despite ongoing economic difficulties
They emphasize that Ukraine's intensified "strike" campaign against Russian oil infrastructure and logistics since March 2026 has affected Russia's oil and gas revenues and led to increased fuel shortages across the temporarily occupied territory of Ukraine and in many Russian regions.
"The intensified Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure will likely continue to exacerbate Russian supply shortages amid growing demand that the Russian government will not be able to ignore," ISW predicts.
Recall
According to ISW estimates, Ukrainian forces are systematically attacking bridges and infrastructure connecting the Kherson region with Crimea. This disrupts Russian logistics and forces the enemy to allocate additional resources for defense.