extreme-temperature-records-in-2024-may-exceed-the-level-of-the-previous-year-why-the-el-nino-phenomenon

Extreme temperature records in 2024 may exceed the level of the previous year: why the El Niño phenomenon

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2024 may set new heat records due to anthropogenic warming and a strong El Niño phase, which increases the likelihood of extreme weather events.

Climate scientists warn that 2024 is likely to be warmer and more powerful than the extreme weather events of 2023, which, in particular, included a record cold snap in China in December. This was reported by New Scientist and People Daily, and UNN.

Details

Last year was the hottest year on record, but it is likely that 2024 will be even hotter will be even hotter,

According to the UK Met Office, next year is likely to surpass 2023. It is also noted that the temperature will be 1.46 degrees C warmer than pre-industrial times. The researchers note that this is the result of both warming caused by human activity, but also by the fact that the El Niño climate model (a climate a climate phenomenon characterized by an increase in sea water surface temperature - ed. in the Pacific Ocean will reach its full strength. The previous hottest year on record, 2016, also coincided with El Niño.

We've never had such a strong El Niño amid global warming

 ," says Adam Scaife of the UK Met Office.

Within decade, global warming could cause "tipping points" that would have catastrophic consequences for the world, scientists say

A sharp cold snap in China against the background of the warming trend 

After several Chinese cities several Chinese cities experienced the worst December cold snap since 1961, climatologists have said that as 2024 is the second year of El Niño, it is is likely to be not only warmer, but also more frequent and powerful in terms of extreme weather events.

Sun Shao, a researcher at the researcher at the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, said that taking into account the impact of El Niño, predicted that the likelihood of abnormal or extreme weather events in the world and in China in particular is much higher than in a normal year. This is already affecting not only the current winter season, but also the spring and summer seasons 2024.

Zhang Tao chief forecaster at the China Meteorological Administration, also assured that in 2024 the country can expect some extreme events, such as high temperatures, heavy rains, droughts, typhoons, strong convective storms, cold waves, sandstorms, and dense fog. The number and range of these events will spiral upward with periodic spiral upward with periodic fluctuations, so it is not yet known whether extreme weather events in 2024 will exceed those that occurred in 2023.

Цьогоріч росія може зникнути зі світового ринку атомних технологій - Галущенко01.01.24, 18:01

Scientists note that global warming is a long-term trend, and within this trend there is a tendency of cold and warm winters.

As the Arctic warms and the westerly winds weaken, this has caused a series of interrelated effects that make it easier for cold air to move southward, leading to more frequent cold events such as cold waves. In other words, although the overall temperature is warmer, the fluctuations between cold and heat are becoming more pronounced

- the expert recognized.

Recall

BP, Shell, Chevron, ExxonMobil and TotalEnergies will distribute more than $100 billion in 2023, amid growing public outrage over the profits of of fossil fuel companies. In recent years, protests against oil and gas companies have become increasingly radical as activists demand more ambitious measures to combat climate change.

In Ukraine this This week , the weather is forecast to get colder - in some places up to 18 degrees below zero.

Ihor Telezhnikov

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